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Joanie Spencer, editor-in-chief of Commercial Baking

Manufacturers pivot to meet consumers’ gluten-free demands

rolling pin and flour with Gluten Free traced out
BY: Maggie Glisan

Maggie Glisan

KANSAS CITY, MO — The year was 2015. Photos of avocado toast had taken over Instagram feeds. Poke bowls were having a moment. Interest in burrata had skyrocketed. Cold brew became cool. And “going gluten-free” seemed to be the diet craze du jour.

Fast-forward 10 years. Dine at a California Pizza Kitchen, and consumers can order their pie with a gluten-free crust baked in a dedicated gluten-free oven. Walk into any large grocery store, and there’s a good chance it has an entire aisle devoted to gluten-free products. While some trends have lost their initial luster, eating gluten-free has not only proven it’s more than a passing fad; it’s also become widely accepted as a dietary necessity for some as well as a standard part of the broader health-and-wellness landscape.

By the numbers

It’s a category that’s booming, with MarketsandMarkets Research projecting sales of global gluten-free products to reach $11.48 billion by 2029.

Approximately 1% of Americans have celiac disease, according to the National Institutes of Health. But even though only 1 in 133 US consumers has a celiac diagnosis, there is a growing category of consumers who opt to eat gluten-free either all of the time or some of the time as part of a holistic approach to health.

“We don’t look at [gluten-free] as an emerging trend anymore,” said Matt Schueller, director of marketing insights and analytics at Ardent Mills. “It’s really become a mainstream dietary choice or behavior.”

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According to Ardent Mills research, about 94% of gluten-free eating occasions are driven by people choosing those foods, not due to a medical diagnosis.

This is happening despite the mixed opinions of health experts on the benefits of going gluten-free. For individuals with celiac or gluten sensitivity, avoiding gluten is essential to preventing digestive distress, fatigue and other adverse effects. However, for those eating gluten-free out of choice, Schueller said it benefits as a health halo, or the perception that a diet is good for you despite a lack of scientific evidence to back it up.

Regardless, there’s a level of social momentum behind the gluten-free movement.

“It has generated a lot of buzz over the years and has become a big topic in the health and wellness sphere,” Schueller said. “That has pulled curious consumers who don’t want to be left out of the conversation.”

Much of that momentum is due to an interest among younger consumers. According to Ardent Mills research, 18- to 24-year-olds are the most enthusiastic about and most committed to eating gluten-free, with 25- to 34-year-olds following right behind them. But what these behaviors really reflect is a broader trend: the desire for customized dietary parameters that are tailor-made to fit people’s specific health needs and preferences.

“The absence of gluten is no longer enough. The consumer is looking for gluten-free, plus additional benefits.” — Matt Schueller | director of marketing insights and analytics | Ardent Mills

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“When it comes to some of those big macro trends, we’re seeing a lot of personalized nutrition, specifically how people are looking for functional health benefits that are very nuanced and specific to their own unique needs,” said Lee Brymer, head of marketing communications for Tastewise. The GenAI-powered consumer data platform included hyper-personalized nutrition in its top trend predictions for 2025.

Diet-related innovation

Schueller noted that for consumers eating gluten-free by choice, they expect their diets to meet a whole host of health priorities, whether that’s improved gut health, sleep, energy or weight management, to name a few.

“Now the consumer is expecting other things that are a priority to them within their eating behaviors to be combined with gluten-free,” Schueller said. “The absence of gluten is no longer enough. The consumer is looking for gluten-free, plus additional benefits. This is the notion that consumers are looking for diets and foods that have multiple benefits that align with their goals.”

In the GLP-1 era, hormone balancing has also become an exceptionally hot topic when it comes to nutrition. In fact, consumer discussions of hormone balancing are up 150% since 2022 according to Tastewise, as hormones are now being recognized as key drivers to achieving overall wellbeing. Research indicates gluten can affect several hormones, including those that control stress, metabolism and appetite.

Consumers are more discerning than ever, and these broader health-and-wellness trends should all be considered as bakers bring new gluten-free products to market.

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“Demand for gluten-free baked goods continues to grow as consumers shift toward healthier lifestyles and dietary inclusivity,” said Abigail Ceule, VP of functional systems at Corbion.
“Consumers want gluten-free options that feel indulgent but are also nutrient-dense, high in fiber and contain minimal additives.”

Perhaps that’s why, for so many gluten-free product launches in recent years, gluten-free claims are merely one of the nutritional selling points.

New York-based Sweet Loren’s breakfast biscuits, whose package states “crafted with only clean ingredients,” tout 19 grams of whole grains, 4 grams of protein, 3 grams of fiber and five B vitamins per serving. Salinas, CA-based CauliPuffs promotes its product as non-GMO and baked, not fried, in avocado oil. For Flings toaster pastries, produced by Canada-based Retro-Snacks Inc., there seems to be a bit of something for everyone, with high protein and fiber, keto-friendly, gluten-free and grain-free all taking top billing as selling points.

But for all the benefits that might entice consumers to opt for a gluten-free product, if it doesn’t taste good, or if the texture is off, it won’t sell.

“The number one most important factor when choosing gluten-free products, not surprisingly, is the taste,” Schueller said. “Gluten-free has really evolved over the past several years, and the expectation level among consumers is high when it comes to taste as well as texture.”

This story has been adapted from the February | Q1 2025 issue of Commercial Baking. Read the full story in the digital edition here.

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