KANSAS CITY, MO — Despite people’s on-again, off-again relationship with bread, buns and rolls, the category remains a constant because these products meet a variety of consumers’ needs. A 3.4% CAGR is expected between 2022 and 2030, with the category reaching a total of $350.17 billion, according to a 2023 bread market analysis conducted by The Insight Partners.
Storewide Growth for Buns and Rolls
Nearly 9 in 10 Americans consume buns and rolls, with 57% eating them at least once a week, according to The Bakery Playbook 2024: Buns and Rolls, a consumer research study series from the American Bakers Association (ABA). Consumer preferences support strong growth for this category in the center store and perimeter. Center store sales increased 2.3% in dollars and 1.0% in units, according to Circana’s data for the latest 52 weeks ending Dec. 1, 2024.
Sales grew in center store for hamburger/hot dog buns, which garners more than half the market share for overall buns and rolls. Dinner rolls follow closely behind, with 24.1% of the dollar share. With a 28.4% rise in dollar sales and 32% jump in units, specialty rolls is the breakout subsegment of center store buns and rolls.
“Growth for center store dinner rolls is driven primarily by private label, but also by King’s Hawaiian and Martin’s Famous Potato Buns and Bread,” said Melissa Altobelli, senior VP of bakery and dairy for Circana. “Private label Hawaiian flavor profiles increased growth as a less costly alternative to the King’s Hawaiian brand.”